Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Short Sale Now or Later ?

Q: What should I be thinking about when it comes to deciding whether or not to short sell?  In other words, what are the pros and cons of doing it now versus 3 or 4 years from now? 


A: Short-term versus long-term planning is a great decision making exercise.  Many times, when people ask me this question, what they’re really asking is, “Why wouldn’t I just short sell in a couple of years, because I’m not ready now?”  It’s a fair enough question but is definitely one that requires some immediate attention, even if you choose not to do anything today.
Before we list off the pros and cons of each, there’s one crucial question that you’ll need to ask yourself and have an answer for!  The question is, “Where do I want to be when all the house stuff is finished?”  You can’t set a course if you don’t have an endpoint.  So, whether your decision is to wipe the slate now and be able to buy again in two to three years or it’s to stay in the house as long as you can and then rent, you have to aim towards something.

Let’s start with the pros and cons of waiting for three or four years, they are…

Pros:

Get to stay in your house longer

Can keep the tax deductions homeownership brings

Leaves the door open for you to possibly keep the house

Avoids the embarrassment of your neighbors talking about your finances

Maintains the status quo (no changes, kids can stay at their school, etc.)

Cons:

Uncertainty of how you’ll be taxed

Banks may not allow short sales then

Rental application will look worse than for those who sold short a couple of years ago

Credit recovery can make this a seven year process (staying for three and up to four more for credit recovery)

You could’ve been done by now

Now, let’s see about doing something today…

Pros:

The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act is still active

Credit recovery begins immediately after the sale

Gets you out of an “underwater” investment

Puts your recovery time at two to three years

All factors are known (like taxes, deficiencies, bank processes)

Cons:

Your situation may improve to where you wouldn’t have needed to sell

You have to move

Not ready, logistically or emotionally

Loss of tax deductions

Immediate change

What does all this mean?  Generally speaking, it means that doing something now will force immediate change but will give you known results and a quicker recovery.  On the other hand, waiting comes with a huge element of uncertainty that may leave you better or worse off and will be a much longer process.
If you have a hardship (either current or future) and your home is underwater, what are you doing for yourself by staying?  You’re probably going to need five to ten years of modest gains in home values just to get back to being even with what you owe.  Since you’re asking what you should be thinking about, think about where you’ll be in four years if you do something now.


In most cases, if you short sale now, you’re back to being a homeowner in two to three years, you’re able to buy a comparable home for much less, and you’ll have equity in your house with any appreciation that happens.   Unless you have a very compelling reason to wait, stop procrastinating and get the next chapter of your life

Contributed by: Chris Diaz

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